Can two walk together without agreeing on where to go? – Amos 3: 3
Like all federations, our founding fathers negotiated the independence of Nigeria with colonial Great Britain. The purpose of these negotiations was to establish a united, prosperous and democratic nation where: “although tribes and languages may differ, we remain in brotherhood”.
Today Nigeria is on the verge of disintegration because we have abandoned the founding goal of our country and chosen to induct a leader with a shameless track record of extreme nepotism and religious extremism.
The drift towards the present state of affairs began shortly after our independence. The North, which inherited the leadership of our colonial masters, essentially sought to replace the colonialists with the South as a colony.
This attitude led to crises in the West and ultimately to the coup of January 15, 1996, the counter-coup and a civil war to keep Nigeria in unison.
But after the war, the northern dominated army abandoned negotiated federalism and implemented centralized federalism under northern control.
Our negotiated unit has become a “gun point” unit. We are no longer Nigerians by choice.
We are now Nigerians, whether we like it or not, regardless of how we are treated and despite serial violations of our constitutional rights.
If we complain too much, either we are threatened with war or we are in fact subjected to war with our armed forces, security agencies and police firmly under Nordic control.
The North got away with it because the leaders of the South were always ready to compromise for their selfish advantages.
While the North moves together in its predatory antics towards the South, the latter responds with dispersed camps and individual actors always ready to lend a hand to the North for the crumbs of the “master” table.
In the middle of each political season, the North and the South engage in public displays of warmongering in the face of the change of power.
The regional attack dogs are unleashed on politics, but after that, the real politicians take over. Despite the new “southern” front crossing swords with the established “monolithic” north, the major political parties will eventually be content with candidates who will keep them in power or catapult them to power.
Once these candidates are identified, all these regional saber cuts will be forgotten.
The North still holds the ace to produce the next president if zoning is dropped in favor of open contests.
The only way power can shift to the South in 2023 is for the APC and PDP to respect the principle of rotating power and deliberately zoning the presidency south.
This can only happen if the leaders of the North, in good conscience or out of fear of the southern revolt (as in 1999), respect the southern turn to produce the next president.
The new “southern front” posed by the governors of the south had initially startled energy brokers in the north.
But already, five of the 17 governors (Ayade from Cross River, Uzodimma from Imo, Ikpeazu from Abia, Umahi from Ebonyi and Obiano from Anambra) seem to have broken ranks.
Either they have withdrawn from their commitment to the open grazing ban, or it’s just on paper.
Where is the Ebube Agu Southeast Safety Network located? Where is the implementation mechanism to protect the population from the rampaging shepherd terrorists?
Most of them are with the North on VAT collection. When the time comes to assert the South’s call for a change of power in 2023, most of them will have already moved to their political masters in the North.
The South is still too weak to rally regional support for a candidate from the South.
But for the North, it’s a piece of cake. Thus, the next president will come mainly from the North, with full support from the South.
In my opinion, however, if the North produces the next president after Muhammadu Buhari’s eight years, our regime will be permanently damaged.
First, the mainstream Southwestern political stream under Bola Tinubu, which helped empower Buhari, will feel betrayed.
Their own betrayal of a fellow southerner, Goodluck Jonathan in 2015 to empower Buhari, was made in anticipation of a quid pro quo or payment in kind by the legendary 12 million Buharists of the North in favor of Tinubu.
The Tinubu camp is very formidable in the streets of the Southwest, especially in Lagos. They will not be happy, and they will not be quiet.
Second, although many southern politicians will still work for the northern presidential candidates, many of their supporters who still believe in Nigeria at this time will feel alienated.
The sense of alienation that swept through some of us after the 2015 elections will bring new converts to the camp of separatist agitators from the Southeast and the Southwest.
The intensity of the agitation of the Oduduwa Nation will approach or even exceed the proportions of the IPOB.
The next regime will have its hands full because of the Southwest’s privileged position in our economy.
Third, it will become difficult to elect a southerner for the presidency in the future. The domination of the North over political power will become permanent.
If the North succeeds in seizing power after Buhari, the North will become so entrenched by 2031 (20 years since Jonathan’s victory in the 2011 presidential election) that most young voters would not have attended. the last time a southerner won a presidential ballot.
Until then, the only way for a southerner to lead Nigeria will be through the Yar ‘Adua / Jonathan force majeure situation.
The perpetuation of the domination of the North will ultimately lead to the completion of the program of Islamization and Peulization begun by Buhari.
Nigeria will become an Islamic theocracy, and even the vice president will no longer need to be a Christian or a southerner.
Do not reject this postulation. Every bad precedent, once set, has always been perpetuated in Nigeria.
Many Northerners consider Buhari’s Fulanization and Islamization program to be the ideal Nordic program for Nigeria.
With weak resistance from the South, it won’t be long before the North turns Nigeria into Alkebulanistan!
Breaking News Nigeria